A working model that converts an outcome-billed call floor into money terms: what every agent-hour costs, what every campaign, call attempt and talk-minute earns — and where the operation stops making money. Designed as the layer on top of the capacity, performance and live-ops tools: every operational percentage gets a € meaning.
Direct margin: outcome revenue minus loaded agent-hours. One line per campaign — and the break-even closing % column is the closing rate at which a campaign stops covering its own cost: the € meaning of the closing metric in the Daily Agent Report.
| Campaign | Records | Dials | Answered | Successes | Closing % | Agent-hours | Revenue | Direct cost | Margin | Margin % | Break-even closing % |
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Revenue is attributed to the attempt that converted; cost is the dial time every attempt burns. By the 5th attempt only ~5–6% of records answer — but you still pay for the other ~95 dials. Pickup and conversion decay with each attempt while the cost of a dial barely falls, so late attempts go underwater. The retry policy is a money dial, not an ops dial.
Margin per dial as a function of average talk time, per campaign. Where a line crosses zero is that campaign's break-even duration; the dot is where it operates today. A high-fee consultative campaign buys enormous headroom; a volume campaign lives close to the line — and one of these is operating within a minute of underwater.
As a campaign runs, fresh records deplete and the average attempt number climbs, so weekly margin decays (modelled here as an index of launch-week margin). Where a line crosses zero is the week the campaign starts dragging — the point to stop, refresh the file, or renegotiate the fee.
Staffing cost is roughly flat across the day while contact rates fade after the morning peak — so the margin curve falls all afternoon and the last stretch of the day dials at a loss. The same fade the pace curve shows operationally, priced in euros.
Fourth piece of the suite: capacity (staffing simulator) → performance (daily agent report) → live ops (TV board) → economics (this model). All four share one fictional operation.